Risks and Rewards
Everything in life comes at a cost -- with a price tag
seldom denominated in dollars and cents, and almost always
hidden.
In our profession as quants and traders, we know we cannot
accumulate if we don't speculate (as P. G. Wodehouse puts
it). So we accept and even welcome some of these price
tags. We take certain risks, which we hope are calculated
and understood, so that we can bring unto our employers
what is theirs. These are good risks.
Bad risks are those we cannot understand and quantify, or
measure and hedge against. They are bad because, even if we
rake in some profits, we are never sure that they are
commensurate with the downside we are throwing ourselves
open to.
Market risk is a good risk. We know how to measure and
model it, hedge against and reap rewards from it. We have
smart people with bulging foreheads solving stochastic
differential equations for us and simplifying the
risk-reward equation.
Operational risk is a bad one. We can put as many software
locks and control processes as we want around it. But we
cannot prevent the rogue elements amongst us from sharing
their passwords over a beer in some French brasserie.
Worse, we have no idea what the rewards are when we expose
ourselves to certain levels of operational risk. Heck, we
don't even know what the levels are because we have no
means of quantifying it.
Incomplete appreciation of the risks involved in many
situations is an almost philosophical factor that comes
around to haunt us. It is not that we underestimate the
risks; it is more like we are not aware of certain
ramifications. The inconvenient warming of our home planet,
for instance, is a consequence that the Wright brothers and
Henry Ford simply could not have been aware of.
No such thing as a free lunch -- the seemingly unlimited
and practically free supply of nuclear energy has a
not-so-hidden cost: the necessity to dispose of or securely
store dangerous waste for, say, twenty thousand years. How
do you store something for that long? After all, twenty
thousand years ago, we were only barely human!
But the list of such boons and associated banes is endless.
Think of the prosperity that a flattened world (using
Thomas Friedman's lingo) brought to emerging economies like
India and China, which came at the expense of the cultural
values that took thousands of years of careful nurturing.
A personal ramification of our high-powered corporate life
is the alarming level of stress that we put ourselves
through. Stress comes from market movements. As the
sub-prime market tanked and heads started to roll, some of
us had to worry about our heads. Fat bonuses of the first
quarter usher in tax worries; lean bonuses indicate
uncertain corporate future. Rogue traders burn billions and
expose everybody to scrutiny and associated stresses. Even
the lack of stress brings in some worries that the
corporate world is perhaps passing us by!
When I first switched to the finance industry in late 2005,
I happened to flip through an issue of the Bloomberg Market
magazine. On of the first things struck me was that most of
the advertisements seemed to be of expensive cars or
alcohol. Is alcoholism the cost we readily dish out so that
we can afford a gleaming dream machine?
Is stress a price worth paying for our corporate success?
Are the risks worth their rewards?
Married to the Job -- Till Death Do Us Part?
Stress is as much a part of our corporate careers as death
is a fact of life. Still, it is best to keep the two
(career and death) separate. This is the message that was
lost on some hardworking young souls here in Singapore who
literally worked themselves to death. So do a lot of
Japanese, if we are to believe the media.
The reason for death in sedentary jobs is the insidious
condition called deep vein thrombosis. This condition
develops because of extended hours spent sitting, when a
blood clot forms in the lower limbs. The clot then travels
to the vital organs in the upper body, where it wreaks
havoc including death.
The trick in avoiding such an untimely demise, of course,
is not to sit for long. But that is easier said than done,
when job pressure mounts, and deadlines loom.
Here is where you have to get your priorities straight.
What do you value more? Quality of life or corporate
success? The implication in this choice is that you can't
have both, as illustrated in the joke in investment banking
that goes like: "If you can't come in on Saturday, don't
bother coming in on Sunday!"
You can, however, make a compromise. It is possible to let
go a little bit of career aspirations and improve the
quality of life tremendously. This balancing act is not so
simple though; nothing in life is.
Undermining work-life balance are a few factors. One is the
materialistic culture we live in. It is hard to fight that
trend. Second is a misguided notion that you can "make it"
first, then sit back and enjoy life. That point in time
when you are free from worldly worries rarely materializes.
Thirdly, you may have a career-oriented partner. Even when
you are ready to take a balanced approach, your partner may
not be, thereby diminishing the value of putting it in
practice.
These are factors you have to constantly battle against.
And you can win the battle, with logic, discipline and
determination. However, there is a fourth, much more
sinister, factor, which is the myth that a successful
career is an all-or-nothing proposition, as implied in the
preceding investment banking joke. It is a myth (perhaps
knowingly propagated by the bosses) that hangs over our
corporate heads like the sword of Damocles.
Because of this myth, people end up working late, trying to
make an impression. But an impression is made, not by the
quantity of work, but by its quality. Turn in quality,
impactful work, and you will be rewarded, regardless of how
long it takes to accomplish it. Long hours, in my view,
make the possibility of quality work remote.
Such melancholy long hours are best left to workaholics;
they keep working because they cannot help it. It is not so
much a career aspiration, but a force of habit coupled with
a fear of social life.
To strike a work-life balance in today's dog eat dog world,
you may have to sacrifice a few upper rungs of the
proverbial corporate ladder. Raging against the corporate
machine with no regard to the consequences ultimately boils
down to one simple realization -- that making a living
amounts to nothing if your life is lost in the process.
Spousal Indifference -- Do We Give a Damn?
After a long day at work, you want to rest your exhausted
mind; may be you want to gloat a bit about your little
victories, or whine a bit about your little setbacks of the
day. The ideal victim for this mental catharsis is your
spouse. But the spouse, in today's double income families,
is also suffering from a tired mind at the end of the day.
The conversation between two tired minds usually lacks an
essential ingredient -- the listener. And a conversation
without a listener is not much of a conversation at all. It
is merely two monologues that will end up generating one
more setback to whine about -- spousal indifference.
Indifference is no small matter to scoff at. It is the
opposite of love, if we are to believe Elie Weisel. So we
do have to guard against indifference if we want to have a
shot at happiness, for a loveless life is seldom a happy
one.
"Where got time?" ask we Singaporeans, too busy to form a
complete sentence. Ah... time! At the heart of all our
worldly worries. We only have 24 hours of it in a day
before tomorrow comes charging in, obliterating all our
noble intensions of the day. And another cycle begins,
another inexorable revolution of the big wheel, and the rat
race goes on.
The trouble with the rat race is that, at the end of it,
even if you win, you are still a rat!
How do we break this vicious cycle? We can start by
listening rather than talking. Listening is not as easy as
it sounds. We usually listen with a whole bunch of mental
filters turned on, constantly judging and processing
everything we hear. We label the incoming statements as
important, useful, trivial, pathetic, etc. And we store
them away with appropriate weights in our tired brain,
ignoring one crucial fact -- that the speaker's labels may
be, and often are, completely different.
Due to this potential mislabeling, what may be the most
important victory or heartache of the day for your spouse
or partner may accidentally get dragged and dropped into
your mind's recycle bin. Avoid this unintentional cruelty;
turn off your filters and listen with your heart. As Wesley
Snipes advises Woody Herrelson in White Men Can't Jump,
listen to her (or him, as the case may be.)
It pays to practice such an unbiased and unconditional
listening style. It harmonizes your priorities with those
your spouse and pulls you away from the abyss of spousal
apathy. But it takes years of practice to develop the
proper listening technique, and continued patience and
deliberate effort to apply it.
"Where got time?" we may ask. Well, let's make time, or
make the best of what little time we got. Otherwise, when
days add up to months and years, we may look back and
wonder: Where is the life that we lost in living?
Stress and a Sense of Proportion
How can we manage stress, given that it is unavoidable in
our corporate existence? Common tactics against stress
include exercise, yoga, meditation, breathing techniques,
reprioritizing family etc. To add to this list, I have my
own secret weapons to battle stress that I would like to
share with you. These weapons may be too potent; so use
them with care.
One of my secret tactics is to develop a sense of
proportion, harmless as it may sound. Proportion can be in
terms of numbers. Let's start with the number of
individuals, for instance. Every morning, when we come to
work, we see thousands of faces floating by, almost all
going to their respective jobs. Take a moment to look at
them -- each with their own personal thoughts and cares,
worries and stresses.
To each of them, the only real stress is their own. Once we
know that, why would we hold our own stress any more
important than anybody else's? The appreciation of the
sheer number of personal stresses all around us, if we stop
to think about it, will put our worries in perspective.
Proportion in terms of our size also is something to ponder
over. We occupy a tiny fraction of a large building that is
our workplace. (Statistically speaking, the reader of this
column is not likely to occupy a large corner office!) The
building occupies a tiny fraction of the space that is our
beloved city. All cities are so tiny that a dot on the
world map is usually an overstatement of their size.
Our world, the earth, is a mere speck of dust a few miles
from a fireball, if we think of the sun as a fireball of
any conceivable size. The sun and its solar system are so
tiny that if you were to put the picture of our galaxy as
the wallpaper on your PC, they would be sharing a pixel
with a few thousand local stars! And our galaxy -- don't
get me started on that! We have countless billions of them.
Our existence (with all our worries and stresses) is almost
incomprehensibly small.
The insignificance of our existence is not limited to
space; it extends to time as well. Time is tricky when it
comes to a sense of proportion. Let's think of the universe
as 45 years old. How long do you think our existence is in
that scale? Eight seconds if we are very lucky!
We are created out of star dust, last for a mere
cosmological instant, and then turn back into star dust.
DNA machines during this time, we run unknown genetic
algorithms, which we mistake for our aspirations and
achievements, or stresses and frustrations. Relax! Don't
worry, be happy!
Sure, you may get reprimanded if that report doesn't go out
tomorrow. Or, your trader may bite your head off if that
pricing model is delayed again. Or, your colleague may send
out that backstabbing email (and Bcc your boss) if you
displease them. But, don't you get it, in this
mind-numbingly humongous universe, it doesn't matter an
iota. In the big scheme of things, your stress is not even
static noise!
Arguments for maintaining a level of stress all hinge on an
ill-conceived notion that stress aids productivity. It does
not. The key to productivity is an attitude of joy at work.
When you stop worrying about reprimands and backstabs and
accolades, and start enjoying what you do, productivity
just happens. I know it sounds a bit idealistic, but my
most productive pieces of work happened that way. Enjoying
what I do is an ideal I will shoot for any day.
Stress and Metaphysics
Realizing that our existence is a mere blink of an eye in
time, and less than a speck of dust in space is a powerful
way of cutting our stress to size. My favorite weapon,
however, is even more potent. I ask myself a basic question
-- what are space and time to begin with?
These may sound like silly metaphysical musings that have
no relevance to real life. But they have been the subject
matter of many lifelong quests over the ages. If we,
humanity as a whole, cannot stop pondering over such
things, it is probably because they form the basis of our
existence. Besides, our stress takes place in space and
time.
Philosophical grand-standing aside, let's get to the meat
of the problem: What is space? Space seems to be closely
associated with our sense of sight. It also forms the basis
of our reality -- everything happens in space and time. For
this reason, "What are space and time?" is a question that
cannot be reduced to simpler elements in our reality.
We can, however, approach the issue by posing a similar
question "What is sound?" Sound is an experience associated
with hearing, clearly. But what is it? The answer is hinted
at in the age-old conundrum of a falling tree in a deserted
forest. Does it make sound? A popular topic of conservation
in cocktail parties, this question is also a serious
contemplative inquiry for a Zen monk.
The knee-jerk response to the question is, yes, the tree
does make sound. It's just that there is nobody to hear it.
But hear what exactly?
Sure, the falling tree creates air pressure waves. But, the
waves are not sound. These waves create an electrical
signal in the ear, if an ear is present. Electrical signals
are electrical signals, not sound. These signals, when
transported to the brain, induce neuronal firing, which is
still not sound. It is a fallacy to think of sound as
anything physical, anything real. Sound is an experience or
a cognitive representation associated with the input
signals (which are the pressure waves, we think. But are
they?)
We can draw similar analogies between other sensations and
the corresponding signals -- taste and smell to chemical
composition, for instance. What about sight? What is the
"sensation" or the cognitive representation associated with
sight? It is what we think of as space.
Of course, we think of space as real, as the basis of our
reality. It takes more than this short column to shake our
belief in it. That's why I wrote my book -- The Unreal
Universe.
To me, the unreal nature of what we consider reality is
more than a constant contemplation. It is a source of a
Zen-like immunity against stress and other worldly worries.
Yes, stress is the cost exacted by the corporate chain of
command. It is a cost most of us happily pay, for the
rewards are abundantly clear. But we have to be aware of
the risks associated with the rewards -- both in accepting
them and in declining them.
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